Prediction of Elijah Sanogo vs Daniil Sarksian at M15 Phan Thiet 12-03-25

• How do the players compare on second serve performance? Elijah Sanogo edges out Daniil Sarksian slightly, winning 44.22% of points compared to 43.43% for Sarksian. This is significant for predicting match outcomes.
• Who dominates in return game stats? Daniil Sarksian has a slight advantage, winning 45.37% of second serve return points, compared to Sanogo's 43.44%. However, their first serve return stats are almost neck and neck at 28.33% for Sanogo and 28.46% for Sarksian.
• Under pressure, Sanogo performs better, saving 60.71% of breakpoints, whereas Sarksian saves only 47.54%, giving Sanogo an edge in critical moments during the match.
• Looking at the overall performance, Sanogo has a stronger winning record over the past year with 50.00%, while Sarksian stands at 34.15%.
• On which surface do they excel? Sanogo thrives on Hard courts with a 67% win rate, whereas Sarksian finds success on I.hard with the same win percentage. Conversely, Sarksian struggles on Hard courts, winning 38% of matches.
• Both players primarily compete in Futures/Satellite/ITF $10K tournaments, with Sanogo showing a slightly better win percentage than Sarksian.
• Analyzing their previous opponents, Sanogo has faced a tougher field with an average opponent rank of 93.81, while Sarksian's opponents average at 516.32.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Sarksian has a better success rate, winning 38% compared to Sanogo's 25%.
• For current momentum, one should consider their current form in the ongoing event as players may perform distinctively well in specific tournaments.

Editorial Prediction (December 2, 2025, UTC):

When comparing their second serve performance, Elijah Sanogo demonstrates a slightly superior ability, which correlates closely with match prediction success. Additionally, while Daniil Sarksian is more efficient in return games, Sanogo showcases resilience under pressure by saving a higher percentage of breakpoints.

Overall performance in the past year clearly favors Sanogo, not just in match victories but also when considering the significantly tougher opponents he has faced. Although Sarksian may have a slight edge if the match reaches a deciding set, Sanogo's consistent record on Hard courts and his knack for performing under pressure provide a compelling case.

Taking into account these statistics, Elijah Sanogo appears to have the upper hand and is favored to win this upcoming tennis match.